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Option Trading The Probability Based Way

Option Trading The Probability Based Way

by John | Sep 27, 2018 | Probability Based Trading

Standard Deviation – Taking the Mystery Out It in Options Trading

by John | Aug 4, 2015 | Probability Based Trading, Uncategorized

When I am working with my options trading coaching clients I often refer to standard deviation somewhat casually. I assume everyone understands the concept and especially how it relates to selling volatility (premium) on options.  More specifically those options that...
Christmas Four Times a Year for Options Traders…Earnings Season!

Christmas Four Times a Year for Options Traders…Earnings Season!

by John | May 15, 2015 | Probability Based Trading, Uncategorized

One of my favorite Christmas season songs is the old Andy Williams favorite, “It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year”. Oh great, now that song will be playing in our heads all day! An earnings announcement for all publicly traded companies is required to be reported...
How to Trade – Probability Based Style

How to Trade – Probability Based Style

by John | Apr 17, 2015 | Probability Based Trading, Uncategorized

Probability-Based Trading is very simple to execute.  I am constantly challenged by fellow traders about its’ simplicity. “If it is this easy to execute, how can it possibly work”. They find it impossible to believe that I don’t use charts,...
Making Sense of Probability and Odds in Options Trading

Making Sense of Probability and Odds in Options Trading

by John | Apr 9, 2015 | Probability Based Trading, Uncategorized

  My challenge with many of my coaching clients is to explain to them how probability and odds work in the favor of the premium seller in the world of options trading. Wouldn’t you prefer to be the insurance company or the casino? In this example I will use the...

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